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Some
analysts explain the prolonged nature of stagnation under Brezhnev
with the help of the concept of “social contract.” This is
interpreted as a tacit bargain or a set of unspoken mutual
expectations that began to arise in the relations between the regime
and society. The state committed itself to providing job security,
social benefits, and relative income equality in exchange for
quiescence and compliance from society. |
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This strategy on the part of the political elite was matched by a
complementary response in mass behavior, resulting in the emergence of a relatively stable
conglomerate of diverse social forces that provided the social base
of stagnation. It consisted of inefficient government and economic
elites, semieducated white-collar workers, unskilled blue-collar
workers, and, finally, collectivized peasants deprived of incentives
to improve agricultural productivity. The forces of stagnation cared
little about scientific and technological progress or
intensification of production. They were content with the status quo
and did not desire any far-reaching structural reforms in the
economy and politics.
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By
the early 1980s the country’s economy had entered the stage of
terminal decline. Its predicament contrasted sharply with the new
phase of the technological revolution, which was unfolding in the
industrialized countries of the West. New scientific achievements
led to the establishment of microelectronics and biotechnology as
the main directions of the technological revolution. The Soviet
Union had achieved military parity with the most powerful industrial
nation of the modern world, but its stagnating economy made
maintaining this military equilibrium more and more strenuous. The
cost of the arms race aggravated technological backwardness in most
other branches of production. Consumer industries and agriculture
were neglected. The population’s living standards froze.
The
deteriorating economic situation went hand in hand with an
intellectual and physical decline of the Soviet leader and the
ruling clique. Having suffered a stroke, Brezhnev was hardly fit to
continue in his role of the national leader. His slow, unsure
movements and indistinct speech at televised public meetings and
official receptions betrayed his deteriorating physical condition.
Yet the ruling party hierarchy continued to prop up the invalid
leader at the top of the party-state pyramid. Throughout his almost
two-decade-long period in power, the Politburo membership stayed
practically unchanged. In the 1970s the average age of Politburo
members reached 70 years old. Brezhnev’s entourage became too infirm
to endure even twenty-minute Politburo meetings. But the old men in
the Kremlin continued to cling to power with all the strength left
in them, blocking the way to the top to younger and more educated
rivals.
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